FA: 台灣的緊急任務 

作者/Author(s): Michael Brown 

原文來源/Source: Foreign Affairs 

日期/Date: 01/25/2023 

主題/Key Topics : Strategy, Cross-Strait relations, Defense 

摘要:

雖然美國和台灣都在烏克蘭危機中不斷意識到中國可能會入侵台灣，但兩邊都沒有採取足夠的行動來阻止解放軍的入侵。鑑於台灣的地理位置，若中國真的入侵台灣的話，華盛頓的反應時間很短。但如果美國沒有馬上反應採取行動，那麼可能最終會導致災難。因此，台灣必須組建軍隊來阻撓中國，而美國必須改變政策以確保台灣的安全，並且警示中國不要輕舉妄動。 

台灣可以做甚麼： 

  • 將其國防預算和人員增加至少一倍，以拖延中國並為美國及其盟友集結抵抗力量爭取時間。
  • 專注於不對稱能力而不是常規作戰，採購更多更小更智慧的武器和無人系統以達到防禦和ISTAR目的。
  • 從私人衛星購買「數據即服務」 (DaaS)，監控解放軍部隊的行動。 
  • 建構有彈性和靈活的通訊網路，確保台灣的內外通訊不會被中國入侵中斷。 
  • 投資網路資安防禦以保護關鍵基礎設施，並發展網路攻擊能力，在入侵期間阻撓解放軍的攻勢。 
  • 在全島儲存和發放關鍵物資，例如燃料、彈藥、食品和醫療用品。 
美國可以做甚麼： 
  • 大幅增加不對稱武器和系統的生產與儲備。 
  • 消除對生產彈藥和武器所需能量的限制，簡化武器採購所需的官僚程序。 
  • 優先向台灣運送武器，向台灣提供美國現有庫存的武器，並提供資金直接援助軍事活動。 
  • 加強區域聯盟，向北京發出抵抗信號。 
  • 將台灣納入印太地區聯合軍演。 
 
Summary: 
Despite warnings of an imminent Chinese invasion of Taiwan amid the Ukrainian crisis, the US and Taiwan did not act adequately to deter the PLA. Given Taiwan's proximity to China and distance from the US, Washington has little time to plan its response in case China invades Taiwan, and it will be disastrous if the US comes unprepared. Therefore, Taiwan must reorganize its military to impede China, and the US must change its policies to assure Taiwan and warn China. 

What Taiwan can do: 
  • Increase its military budget and personnel by twofold to stall China and buy time for the US and its allies to assemble a resistance force. 
  • Focus on asymmetric capabilities instead of conventional platforms, procuring more smaller and smarter weapons and unmanned systems for defense and ISTAR purposes. 
  • Purchase data as a service (DaaS) from private satellites to monitor the movement of PLA forces. 
  • Construct a resilient and flexible communications network to guarantee uninterrupted communications during an invasion. 
  • Invest in cyber-defense to protect critical infrastructure and develop cyber-offense capabilities to obstruct the PLA during an invasion. 
  • Stockpile and distribute critical goods such as fuel, munitions, food, and medical supplies across the island. 
What the US can do: 
  • Drastically increase the production of asymmetric weapons and systems and stockpile them. 
  • Dispose of restrictions in producing energetics required for ammunition and weapons and streamline the bureaucratic process required for weapons procurement. 
  • Prioritize weapons deliveries to Taiwan, provide Taiwan with weapons from US's current stocks, and provide funds for direct military assistance. 
  • Bolster regional alliances to send resistance signals to Beijing. 
  • Include Taiwan in joint military exercises in the Indo-Pacific region. 
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