Sabotage future Taiwan’s presidential and legislative election. 

Influence Taiwanese to support reunification with China by 2049. 

Use black propaganda on social media platforms to smear pro-independence politicians, thus creating divisions among Taiwanese. 

Spread misinformation that the U.S. will not come to Taiwan’s aid if China invades. 

Fund pro-China political parties or think tanks through a third party to publicly promote China reunification. 

Although the Taiwanese may ignore China’s MDM (misinformation, disinformation, misinformation) tactics, it can dampen Taiwanese interest in elections and create distrust among Taiwanese political institutions. 

Send a clear signal to Taiwan on the risks of external intervention. 

Warn the Taiwanese on the potential cost of non-compliance with China’s demands.  

Deter any Taiwanese political party from conducting military or diplomatic engagement with other countries. 

Send a secret note to Taipei warning against closer interaction with the West, then conduct an atmospheric nuclear test. 

Warn Taiwan the nuclear test is a must as a response to pro-independence dialogue with the west. 

Discourage intervention from the West in the region. 

Nuclear blackmail may frustrate Taiwan’s political leaders and citizens, pushing Taiwan further into pro-independence and anti-China stances. 

Sever Taiwan’s communication from its partners. 

Complicate Taiwan’s retaliation and foreign intervention. 

Create political, diplomatic, and military advantage for China. 

Cut Taiwan’s digital communication from the world. 

Isolate Taiwan’s air and sea lines of communication.  

Launch MDM campaigns in Taiwan and rest of the world to complicate their perspectives. 

Although quarantine is relatively low-cost and low risk for China, it will deliver economic shockwaves to itself and the world.  

Miscalculation or accidental use of force may escalate tensions. 

Exert control over sea- space around Taiwan, thus cutting supplies to the island. 

Stopping and checking cargoes going into Taiwan. 

Attacking ships that refuses inspection or deemed carrying military support and critical supplies for Taiwan. 

China can be flexible in exclusion zone depending on the world’s rection. 

The US may escort ships into Taiwan, therefore the consequences of accidental attack on US escort ships are unknown. 

Change the political calculus of Taiwanese political leaders. 

Testing the West’s resolve. 

China will launch limited missile attacks to demonstrate its rocket capabilities, hitting military and political institutions alongside with cyber and electronic attacks. 

Beijing needs to choose the timing and target carefully. 

Taipei may launch counterattacks on China mainland. 

Assassinate Taiwan’s political and military leaders. 

Paralyze Taiwan’s political and military decision-making institution.  

PLA organized its Special Operation Forces to conduct electronic warfare on Taiwan’s military. 

Infiltrate Taiwan to control airfield and seaport, then raid and sabotage key government and military institutions in Taipei. 

Infiltration and exfiltration operation in a highly urbanized Taiwan is extremely difficult.