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FP: 歐美雙方對北京的態度逐漸趨近:對北京的負面評價正在增加——對台灣的支持也有限 

 

作者/Author(s): Julia Pallanch, Bonnie S. Glaser 

原文來源/Source: Foreign Policy 

日期/Date: 10/26/2022 

主題/Key Topics: Public Perception, Foreign Policy

摘要

在習近平獲得第三個任期後,中國試圖在區域和全球範圍內擴大其影響力,腐蝕了以自由主義為基礎的國際秩序。中國強硬的態度也對美國及其西方盟友構成威脅,而這意味著他們需要更緊密的合作以遏制中國。德國馬歇爾基金會最近進行的一項全球民意調查認為,人們對中國的普遍看法惡化,但對與美國協調中國政策的意見是分歧的—如果中國入侵,對台灣的支持有限以下是關鍵要點

  •  對中國參與全球事務有壓倒性的負面看法(超過50%)。 
  • 該調查清楚地反映了歐盟與中國曖昧而又復雜之關係,中國是歐盟的「談判夥伴」、「經濟競爭對手」和「系統性競爭對手」。許多國家(加拿大、美國、英國、西班牙、荷蘭、意大利、德國和法國)認為中國是競爭者或對手,但有些國家(葡萄牙和土耳其)認為中國是合作夥伴。 
  • 歐洲國家更願意相互合作而不是與美國合作來處理與中國的關係 
  • 如果中國入侵台灣,大多數國家同意通過外交途徑解決衝突(35%)或攜手制裁中國(32%)。向台灣輸送武器(4%)或軍事援助(2%)的意願極小
Summary: 
After Xi secured his third term, China sought to expand its influence regionally and globally, corroding the liberal-based international order. China’s assertiveness poses a threat to the U.S. and its Western allies, implying the need for closer cooperation to contain China. A recent global poll conducted by the German Marshall Fund concluded that the general perception of China deteriorated, divided opinions on coordinating China policy with the U.S., and limited support for Taiwan if China invades. The following are the key takeaways: 
  • An overwhelming negative perception (over 50%) of China’s involvement in global affairs. 
  • The survey clearly reflects the E.U.’s ambiguous and complex relations with China whereby China is a “negotiating partner,” “economic competitor,” and “systemic rival” to the E.U. More countries (Canada, the U.S., the U.K., Spain, the Netherlands, Italy, Germany, and France) think China is a competitor or rival, but some (Portugal and Turkey) think of China as a partner. 
  • European countries preferred to work with each other rather than the U.S. to manage relations with China. 
  • If China invades Taiwan, most countries agree on a diplomatic solution to resolve the conflict (35%) or join hands in sanctioning China (32%). There is a minimal will to send weapons (4%) or military assistance (2%) to Taiwan.